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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 02:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$13K$6.0K
Holders330−2332
Trades2.7K+612.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+6.4 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+0.5 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−16.12×
×16.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−15.65×
×16.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.5K
+$8.9K
$5.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.2%
+136.9 pp
-93.7%
Underwater %0.1%
−97.0 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.1%
−2.2 pp
48.3%
Bot %65.8%
−0.9 pp
66.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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