Markets › detail

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-10-02 17:46 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$8.9K$15K
Holders65+1550
Trades1.3K−6482.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.1%
−20.1 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI4.0%
+4.9 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.48
+4.91×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.13
+4.52×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$479
−$539
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.29
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.4%
−143.7 pp
63.3%
Underwater %87.5%
+87.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.3%
−7.2 pp
68.5%
Bot %61.2%
−7.4 pp
68.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse