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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

data as of 2026-06-16 23:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.1K−$28K$32K
Holders268−29297
Trades1.7K−131.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−6.8 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.3 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.49
+12.70×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.70
+10.88×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$12.0K
$16.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−120.4 pp
28.4%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.4%
−11.7 pp
72.1%
Bot %67.5%
−9.8 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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