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Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?

data as of 2024-10-09 10:20 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12K−$299K$311K
Holders277+18394
Trades2.3K+5521.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−21.8 pp
65.7%
Avg ROI7.6%
+5.3 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.27
+2.32×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.64
+2.69×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$328
$335
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.05
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.6%
−77.8 pp
6.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.6%
−25.4 pp
32.0%
Bot %3.5%
−28.5 pp
32.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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