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Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?

data as of 2025-04-07 08:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$535−$8.8K$9.3K
Holders24−2044
Trades138+3999
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.3%
+11.8 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI4.1%
+0.7 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.20
+7.23×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.84
+16.89×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$26
$26
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−99.4 pp
4.9%
Underwater %74.3%
+74.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.4%
+46.2 pp
11.1%
Bot %57.4%
+46.2 pp
11.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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