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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2025-12-21 22:12 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$17K$16K
Holders264+26238
Trades3.2K−7094.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+7.8 pp
45.9%
Avg ROI-1.2%
+0.3 pp
-1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−16.35×
×16.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−15.39×
×16.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.1K
+$7.0K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.04
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.8%
+151.7 pp
-93.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.4%
−17.5 pp
75.9%
Bot %58.8%
−17.9 pp
76.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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