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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 19:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.6K−$15K$21K
Holders351+11340
Trades2.3K+4561.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−5.6 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI6.7%
+5.7 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.01
+18.19×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.73
+18.94×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.4K
−$14.4K
$19.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−118.3 pp
23.6%
Underwater %95.2%
+95.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.2%
+10.3 pp
28.9%
Bot %49.4%
−3.0 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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