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Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

data as of 2026-01-28 03:10 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 7, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$61K−$317K$377K
Holders3.4K−9.5K13K
Trades85K−8.9K94K
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.6%
−2.9 pp
61.5%
Avg ROI13.1%
−0.3 pp
13.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−0.30×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−0.30×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$9
$9
Recent buyer dominance0.52
−0.07
0.58
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.0%
+48.1 pp
-1.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.2 pp
98.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.3%
−75.3 pp
80.5%
Bot %3.1%
−76.7 pp
79.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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