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Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?

data as of 2025-09-18 05:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.1K−$113K$120K
Holders56+848
Trades1.1K−8621.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.7%
−49.0 pp
85.7%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−1.3 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.77
+0.81×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$491
$495
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.0%
−49.3 pp
5.3%
Underwater %29.3%
+29.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.5%
−19.5 pp
26.0%
Bot %5.6%
−59.6 pp
65.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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