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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2025-10-11 20:36 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$958+$493$464
Holders14−620
Trades50−2373
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
+33.3 pp
15.5%
Avg ROI-13.6%
−30.8 pp
17.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−21.66×
×22.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−15.46×
×16.18
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
+$38
$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.1%
+133.0 pp
-93.8%
Underwater %0.4%
−98.8 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
+5.0 pp
68.5%
Bot %73.5%
+19.1 pp
54.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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