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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 02:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$20K$32K
Holders360+89271
Trades3.5K+2413.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−8.2 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI3.2%
+6.6 pp
-3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.71
+8.03×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.37
+8.70×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.0K
−$9.0K
$20.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.2%
−131.0 pp
41.8%
Underwater %97.5%
+97.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.0%
+16.0 pp
61.1%
Bot %77.9%
+18.8 pp
59.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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