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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3PM ET

data as of 2025-09-12 20:02 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$12K$19K
Holders62−1375
Trades1.5K+921.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.7%
+12.5 pp
49.2%
Avg ROI-0.0%
−10.0 pp
10.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−47.20×
×47.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−43.60×
×44.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
+$3.4K
$355
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.09
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL83.0%
+180.6 pp
-97.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.3%
+1.5 pp
77.8%
Bot %83.5%
+1.4 pp
82.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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