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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 18?

data as of 2026-04-18 07:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.4K−$3.9K$6.3K
Holders194+23171
Trades1.5K+485989
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−24.9 pp
68.1%
Avg ROI11.9%
+11.2 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×81.60
+80.89×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×86.81
+86.06×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$219
$221
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.8%
−136.5 pp
37.7%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.4%
+1.3 pp
28.1%
Bot %31.7%
+3.6 pp
28.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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