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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-09-26 15:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$18K$4.9K
Holders38−2664
Trades1.1K−221.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
+8.6 pp
42.7%
Avg ROI-2.5%
−11.0 pp
8.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−15.14×
×15.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−12.74×
×13.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.6K
−$2.2K
$527
Recent buyer dominance0.31
−0.68
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.9%
+141.4 pp
-92.5%
Underwater %0.2%
−95.9 pp
96.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.7%
+0.4 pp
74.3%
Bot %68.0%
+8.6 pp
59.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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