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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-15 23:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$22K$15K
Holders375−42417
Trades4.8K−7115.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+14.0 pp
37.2%
Avg ROI0.3%
−5.6 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−20.23×
×20.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−19.40×
×20.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.2K
+$3.3K
$3.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.7%
+164.9 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %0.1%
−92.9 pp
93.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.9%
+3.6 pp
62.3%
Bot %65.1%
+3.4 pp
61.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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