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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 03:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$12K$8.4K
Holders262−171433
Trades1.7K−9622.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.7%
+10.3 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.2 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−4.36×
×5.31
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−4.91×
×5.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.6K
+$14.2K
$4.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.05
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL9.4%
+93.3 pp
-83.9%
Underwater %28.5%
−63.5 pp
92.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.8%
−5.8 pp
36.6%
Bot %45.0%
−1.0 pp
46.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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