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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 19:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.6K+$1.4K$1.2K
Holders69−1685
Trades544−84628
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+1.7 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI4.4%
+2.6 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−2.55×
×3.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−2.79×
×3.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$871
+$283
$587
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.06
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.4%
+108.4 pp
-71.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.9%
−2.4 pp
49.3%
Bot %58.1%
+4.1 pp
53.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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