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One Trump Cabinet confirmation in January?

data as of 2024-12-12 01:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$128−$26K$26K
Holders46−218264
Trades591−67658
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
−8.9 pp
61.0%
Avg ROI9.3%
+7.6 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.38
+0.40×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.77
+0.79×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$112
$114
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.40
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-38.5%
−40.7 pp
2.2%
Underwater %67.2%
+67.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.4%
−20.2 pp
52.6%
Bot %32.4%
−20.2 pp
52.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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