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Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 6, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-07 12:05 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.5K+$2.3K$4.2K
Holders54−69123
Trades480−63543
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate73.1%
+28.0 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI9.9%
−32.3 pp
42.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−357.75×
×358.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−454.99×
×455.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
+$1.1K
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.24
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.8%
+170.5 pp
-99.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−89.0 pp
89.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.9%
−43.0 pp
53.9%
Bot %10.9%
−43.3 pp
54.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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