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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 09:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$7.4K$8.1K
Holders291−72363
Trades1.8K−9912.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−1.2 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI1.5%
−0.7 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−6.67×
×7.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−6.71×
×7.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.3K
+$9.5K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL38.0%
+124.9 pp
-86.8%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.1%
+5.2 pp
30.0%
Bot %60.5%
+13.9 pp
46.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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