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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 02:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$6.7K$20K
Holders291−30321
Trades5.7K+405.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+2.3 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−1.4 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−41.07×
×41.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−38.17×
×38.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.2K
+$3.4K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL71.7%
+169.1 pp
-97.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+10.1 pp
71.4%
Bot %80.6%
+10.8 pp
69.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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