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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 21:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$62K$85K
Holders478+8470
Trades6.4K+2956.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−11.4 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI95.5%
+94.6 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.25
+15.62×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.51
+15.88×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.4K
−$12.8K
$35.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.06
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−150.4 pp
56.5%
Underwater %96.5%
+96.4 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.9%
+1.4 pp
84.5%
Bot %85.1%
+0.5 pp
84.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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