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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

data as of 2026-02-17 04:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.2K−$16K$25K
Holders433+32401
Trades3.4K+2633.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.2%
−35.8 pp
69.0%
Avg ROI10.7%
+10.6 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.00
+14.29×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.16
+20.39×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.3K
−$10.8K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−128.7 pp
33.9%
Underwater %92.8%
+92.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.0%
−11.8 pp
64.8%
Bot %50.1%
−13.4 pp
63.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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