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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4AM ET

data as of 2026-01-01 09:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$10K$2.6K
Holders63−1679
Trades1.2K+380828
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.3%
+14.5 pp
45.8%
Avg ROI-1.0%
+4.2 pp
-5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−11.80×
×12.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−13.58×
×14.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$48
+$38
$10
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.2%
+126.1 pp
-93.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.0%
−11.6 pp
78.7%
Bot %64.6%
−10.8 pp
75.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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