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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 00:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10.0K−$27K$37K
Holders523+95428
Trades4.7K+7294.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−7.7 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI2.5%
+1.1 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.94
+12.06×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.95
+17.12×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.9K
−$22.5K
$27.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−118.3 pp
23.3%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.7 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.8%
−13.0 pp
71.8%
Bot %64.4%
−8.0 pp
72.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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