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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 13:21 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$8.3K$2.6K
Holders182−58240
Trades875−1661.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+4.5 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI2.4%
−1.7 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−4.14×
×5.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−4.64×
×5.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.5K
+$7.0K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.0%
+110.8 pp
-84.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.5%
+12.9 pp
24.6%
Bot %63.1%
+25.2 pp
37.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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