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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 09:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.5K−$13K$23K
Holders437+126311
Trades3.0K−303.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.1%
−20.9 pp
60.0%
Avg ROI2.4%
+2.6 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.63
+28.95×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.66
+21.98×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.1K
−$7.7K
$15.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.12
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−139.5 pp
43.4%
Underwater %91.2%
+88.4 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.4%
−1.3 pp
63.7%
Bot %63.3%
−1.1 pp
64.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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