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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 12:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$25K$11K
Holders460+70390
Trades3.0K−1403.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+4.4 pp
47.7%
Avg ROI2.4%
+2.5 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−24.42×
×25.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−26.87×
×27.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32.3K
+$21.6K
$10.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.9%
+146.1 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.1 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.8%
+5.2 pp
40.6%
Bot %62.5%
+9.2 pp
53.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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