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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 22:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$15K$29K
Holders381+38343
Trades3.4K+2873.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−4.6 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI5.8%
+4.7 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.05
+16.41×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.34
+16.69×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.4K
−$13.3K
$26.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−148.5 pp
55.2%
Underwater %91.8%
+89.8 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.5%
−6.0 pp
43.5%
Bot %58.0%
−6.2 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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