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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 17:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$5.6K$13K
Holders273+4269
Trades2.4K−2252.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
+1.3 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.6 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−6.72×
×7.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−6.40×
×6.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.5K
+$5.9K
$12.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL64.3%
+150.8 pp
-86.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.0%
+6.8 pp
43.1%
Bot %67.1%
−0.2 pp
67.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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