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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 17:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.6K−$6.3K$14K
Holders287+3284
Trades2.9K+152.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.1%
−13.0 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI0.5%
+2.5 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.50
+41.98×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.11
+36.59×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.3K
−$686
$8.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−181.6 pp
84.3%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.2 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.2%
−4.5 pp
70.7%
Bot %64.0%
−5.5 pp
69.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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