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Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 18:51 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$677−$11K$12K
Holders46+1036
Trades248+45203
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.9%
−12.6 pp
56.5%
Avg ROI0.3%
+2.2 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.33
+2.80×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.74
+15.08×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
−$506
$519
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−145.2 pp
51.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.1%
+45.9 pp
35.2%
Bot %81.1%
+45.9 pp
35.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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