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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 17:23 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$12K$6.0K
Holders276−12288
Trades1.7K−4752.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+2.4 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI1.2%
+0.9 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−4.81×
×5.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−5.05×
×5.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.5K
+$11.0K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.6%
+106.6 pp
-84.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.4%
−0.4 pp
42.8%
Bot %61.8%
−4.6 pp
66.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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