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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 27?

data as of 2026-03-27 19:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.4K−$11K$13K
Holders207+74133
Trades1.0K+145886
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−13.3 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI3.0%
−4.8 pp
7.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.09
+32.47×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.54
+28.87×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$354
−$1.2K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−151.3 pp
54.4%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
+5.2 pp
27.9%
Bot %32.7%
+6.1 pp
26.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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