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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6AM ET

data as of 2025-09-30 10:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$19K$9.6K
Holders86+1175
Trades2.3K−1372.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
+8.4 pp
44.5%
Avg ROI3.0%
−0.6 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−6.78×
×7.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−6.16×
×6.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$475
+$156
$320
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.17
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL68.7%
+154.1 pp
-85.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.2 pp
99.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.9%
−5.6 pp
57.5%
Bot %49.0%
−8.2 pp
57.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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