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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 16?

data as of 2026-07-14 08:22 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4−$340$345
Holders5+41
Trades5+41
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.4%
−59.6 pp
97.0%
Avg ROI-2.8%
−3.8 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.25
+0.25×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$340
$345
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-20.1%
−20.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %25.2%
+25.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.4%
+1.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %1.4%
+1.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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