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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-28 05:23 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
90¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5−$34$38
Holders303
Trades5+23
NO
90¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.3%
+16.8 pp
38.6%
Avg ROI26.9%
+28.0 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$16
$18
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.32
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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