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Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?

data as of 2026-01-01 15:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$337−$53K$53K
Holders85−142227
Trades2.6K+1.1K1.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−30.9 pp
76.5%
Avg ROI62.0%
+62.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.28
+6.29×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.93
+14.97×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$394
$394
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−97.3 pp
3.5%
Underwater %95.7%
+80.4 pp
15.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.3%
−60.7 pp
83.1%
Bot %22.3%
−64.1 pp
86.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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