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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?

data as of 2026-07-02 05:14 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4−$98$101
Holders2+11
Trades202
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.3%
−52.1 pp
92.3%
Avg ROI13.8%
+1.5 pp
12.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−0.10×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$98
$101
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL10.3%
+10.7 pp
-0.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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