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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 20:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$2.5K$3.8K
Holders125+24101
Trades621+193428
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.5%
−20.1 pp
65.6%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.5 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.85
+15.32×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.33
+12.73×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$249
$265
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.12
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−171.7 pp
78.8%
Underwater %98.4%
+98.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.2%
+15.7 pp
19.5%
Bot %33.1%
+16.7 pp
16.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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