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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

data as of 2026-04-03 22:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.0K−$66K$72K
Holders366−86452
Trades3.6K+1353.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.7%
−42.9 pp
82.6%
Avg ROI5.8%
+6.0 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.24
+4.26×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.54
+7.59×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.4K
−$60.2K
$65.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.06
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−102.7 pp
9.8%
Underwater %91.4%
+87.2 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.3%
−19.2 pp
67.5%
Bot %45.8%
−22.0 pp
67.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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