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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

data as of 2026-02-15 14:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$44K$64K
Holders390+23367
Trades6.0K−1.5K7.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.5%
−51.0 pp
80.5%
Avg ROI7.3%
+3.8 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.17
+12.53×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.96
+9.22×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.9K
−$17.1K
$36.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.3%
−152.0 pp
61.7%
Underwater %68.8%
+48.6 pp
20.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.6%
+10.6 pp
41.0%
Bot %49.3%
+18.5 pp
30.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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