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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

data as of 2026-05-08 07:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$8.2K$12K
Holders384−40424
Trades2.8K−1813.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.1%
+6.6 pp
48.5%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.7 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−21.84×
×22.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−20.73×
×21.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.4K
+$3.4K
$11.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL69.0%
+163.9 pp
-95.0%
Underwater %4.1%
−92.2 pp
96.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.7%
−3.7 pp
69.4%
Bot %65.8%
−3.9 pp
69.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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