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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 8?

data as of 2026-07-06 05:35 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 8, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
38¢
NO
62¢
YES
38¢
YesY-NNo
Position$15−$10$25
Holders202
Trades202
NO
62¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−29.6 pp
70.5%
Avg ROI0.5%
+0.6 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
−0.04×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
−$10
$25
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.7%
+4.3 pp
-1.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−50.0 pp
50.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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