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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 4AM ET

data as of 2025-12-17 09:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$6.8K$8.4K
Holders88088
Trades1.0K−4311.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.3%
+22.6 pp
35.7%
Avg ROI1.8%
+2.6 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−38.74×
×39.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−35.47×
×36.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
+$834
$423
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.27
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL52.9%
+150.2 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.3 pp
96.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.3%
−4.7 pp
74.0%
Bot %69.5%
−5.6 pp
75.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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