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Military action against Iran ends by April 20, 2026?

data as of 2026-04-12 02:38 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$28K+$28K$121
Holders29−736
Trades161−317478
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate90.9%
+52.0 pp
38.9%
Avg ROI0.5%
−18.2 pp
18.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.38×
×1.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−1.47×
×2.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$139
+$138
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.62
+0.07
0.56
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.7%
+59.4 pp
-58.7%
Underwater %2.4%
−54.6 pp
57.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.2%
−29.8 pp
32.0%
Bot %2.2%
−38.1 pp
40.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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