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Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?

data as of 2026-05-17 10:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$620−$2.6K$3.2K
Holders92+2864
Trades358+96262
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.4%
−41.8 pp
80.1%
Avg ROI5.1%
+1.5 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.00
+24.18×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.29
+17.48×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$183
−$832
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−122.1 pp
26.5%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.7%
+16.6 pp
18.0%
Bot %37.8%
+20.2 pp
17.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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