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US forces enter Iran by December 31?

data as of 2026-04-05 04:13 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.53M+$3.93M$601K
Holders1.0K+151869
Trades25K−4.8K30K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.7%
−1.5 pp
59.2%
Avg ROI14.1%
+11.4 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−288.26×
×288.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−279.23×
×279.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$53.1K
−$53.2K
$69
Recent buyer dominance0.04
−0.96
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL42.3%
+141.9 pp
-99.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.7 pp
97.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.4%
−1.5 pp
35.9%
Bot %31.8%
−4.1 pp
35.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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