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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?

data as of 2026-05-16 23:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7−$1.2K$1.3K
Holders23−5477
Trades164−104268
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.3%
−45.5 pp
76.8%
Avg ROI9.3%
+7.3 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.00
+3.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.84
+3.84×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$18
$18
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.03
0.57
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.0%
−82.4 pp
0.3%
Underwater %87.3%
+78.2 pp
9.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.4%
+23.1 pp
0.3%
Bot %39.8%
+39.5 pp
0.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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