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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 12:41 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.4K−$2.4K$4.8K
Holders101+1487
Trades795+225570
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
−2.6 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.77
+11.97×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.84
+14.08×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$418
−$2.8K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.8%
−125.3 pp
32.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.3%
+8.9 pp
44.4%
Bot %61.6%
−3.4 pp
65.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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